Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.280787 0.326875 0.379989 0.446146 0.526925 0.623098 0.747387
2025-08-03 0.213349 0.272316 0.348558 0.456216 0.607389 0.816909 1.138066
2025-08-10 0.173328 0.235889 0.323667 0.459658 0.672342 1.005613 1.596688
2025-08-17 0.146725 0.209673 0.303754 0.460675 0.728839 1.195544 2.139072
2025-08-24 0.126841 0.188483 0.285451 0.457401 0.774333 1.379399 2.759491
2025-08-31 0.110946 0.170263 0.267636 0.449528 0.807576 1.550222 3.445832
2025-09-07 0.101638 0.160916 0.262358 0.461909 0.881870 1.831771 4.572218
2025-09-14 0.090906 0.147460 0.247455 0.452451 0.908006 2.015842 5.571057
2025-09-21 0.083744 0.139150 0.240366 0.456729 0.965330 2.300685 7.118070
2025-09-28 0.077033 0.130721 0.231658 0.455636 1.009719 2.572125 8.885140
2025-10-05 0.072878 0.126448 0.230286 0.470161 1.097734 3.015218 11.863745
2025-10-12 0.068847 0.121883 0.227590 0.481036 1.179989 3.487706 15.667390
2025-10-19 0.065019 0.117369 0.224576 0.491223 1.266506 4.038950 20.953111
2025-10-26 0.061905 0.113935 0.223427 0.506089 1.374105 4.752804 28.991080
2025-11-02 0.058355 0.109195 0.218713 0.510750 1.451968 5.408888 38.559401
2025-11-09 0.054952 0.104387 0.213174 0.512065 1.520030 6.083022 50.809161
2025-11-16 0.051588 0.099309 0.206333 0.508374 1.569831 6.717867 65.573187
2025-11-23 0.048258 0.093976 0.198217 0.499425 1.597547 7.268203 82.372119
2025-11-30 0.046493 0.091926 0.197802 0.513511 1.723141 8.537374 120.582018
2025-12-07 0.043610 0.087083 0.189855 0.502751 1.742216 9.154404 151.855364
2025-12-14 0.041729 0.084360 0.186959 0.507618 1.832929 10.400372 215.557532
2025-12-21 0.039720 0.081160 0.182453 0.506375 1.896592 11.543159 297.152771
2025-12-28 0.038616 0.079983 0.183130 0.522906 2.055032 13.750370 485.715247